Trump’s victory has, for now at least, destroyed the basis of unionists’ economic arguments against independence.  Trump and Brexit together so alter the prevailing economic orthodoxies and assumptions of the 2014 independence referendum that refusing to re-consider the situation afresh would be the very definition of dogmatism. The ‘bad economic outcomes’  arrow has disappeared from the unionist quiver and, for now, credible economists must begin their calculations again from scratch.

Scots who voted No reluctantly in 2014 can now simply not tell which course – Brexit or independence – is the riskier. What they can see, however, is an England infected by the same right wing populism which Trump’s election has placed into the ascendant in the US. That was the meaning of Farage’s visit to Trump’s campaign; it’s what’s enabled the right-wing takeover of the Tory party.

England has chosen right wing populism and all that it implies. Anti-immigration, small-mindedness, fear of outsiders and competition, switching state spending away from those in need and towards the richest of businesses and individuals. It would simply be monstrous if English politicians playing to English constituents were to be allowed to dictate values and policies to Scots who have chosen a different, more progressive, path time and time again.

Scotland really is a different country in all the cultural ways now. Rational people who voted No in 2014 and have since seen the basis of our arguments destroyed in just a few months will think afresh about dignity, self-determination and the kind of country we want to live in.

And a lot of us will move from No to Yes.

5 Responses to Trump and Brexit have destroyed the economic case against independence
  1. Is it ‘populism’ or is it nationalism ?
    Which the YES campaign went out its way to avoid.

    Brexit was all about the English ‘taking back control’ and wrapping itself up in a union jack, basically seen as a more colourful English flag.

    Trump was all about ‘making America Great again’ and protectionism.

    Maybe the YES campaign needed to make it less about positivity for its own sake, and more about dignity and pride. Scotland having its own place in the world.

    Maybe we need a Trump or a Farage of our own, waving a Saltire and telling Scots to grow a pair, stop being such pussies and take our own country back.

  2. Maybe we should use the same rhetoric… ‘take our country back’ ‘make Scotland great again’ etc. and see if if it appeals …

  3. Absolutely correct – the ‘Better Together’ tag has never looked so ridiculous. To cite it now is simply to invite mocking laughter. The notion that there is a reactionary right of any significant size in Scotland is nonsense. The majority for the EU was a stonking 24% and that number will certainly have grown as the pantomime and disasters of ‘Brexit’ have emerged. Indyref2 is needed ASAP – and last night’s shameful fiasco has only rendered it the more urgent and the more certain of being won.

  4. I tend to think of the table that ‘Better Together’ stood on as my analogy. It had 6 legs, all of them wobbly. Its down to … none.

    1. The EU (doh!)
    2. Scotland as 1st class member (EVEL, Smith)
    3. The pound … (laughable)
    4. Oil – 20 years (massive finds)
    5. Common ideals/goals (see article)
    6. Pensions (a joke)

    Various smaller issues rested on that table, the most prominent perhaps ‘defence’ and ‘jobs’.

    The table has collapsed, and we know everything went with it.

  5. Eric, I do so hope that you are right. However, I do fear it may serve to embolden the reactionary right, of whom as I’m sure your aware there are more than most of us would like to admit to, in Scotland.


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